Forecasting International Risk Climate Under President Trump
The article by international risk counsel Michael Casey, international risk practice co-chair Zachary Brez and associate Brendan Hanifin was originally published in Law360 on November 13, 2016.
Niels Bohr famously observed that “predictions are hard, especially about the future.” The results of last week’s presidential election confirmed this adage, as prognosticators in the media, both political parties, and the financial and legal industries seemingly all failed to envisage Donald Trump’s victory. The aftermath of the election has indicated that a corollary to Bohr’s maxim also is true: commentators of all stripes will continue to try to forecast the future, regardless of the difficulty of doing so. In this article, we offer our best guesses about potential regulatory and enforcement changes that might occur in the international risk landscape after Inauguration Day.
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